Hexagon Fraud Theory in Detecting Financial Statement Fraud
in Infrastructure Sector Companies
Panca Dian
Segalani1, Hasnawati2
1,2 Accounting
Program, Economics and Business Faculty of Trisakti
University
Email: [email protected], [email protected]
Abstract
The
fraud hexagon theory states that financial statement fraud is influenced by
several factors. This research aims to test empirically and see the influence
of pressure, opportunity, rationalization, capability, arrogance, and collusion
on financial statement fraud using modified jones model as the dependent
variable. The analytical method used in this research is multiple linear
regression analysis with purposive sampling technique. The sample in this
research numbered 99 consisting of 33 infrastructure sector companies that were
listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) and published annual reports for
the period 2020 to 2022. The research results show that the rationalization
variable has a positive effect on financial report fraud. However, the variables
pressure, opportunity, capability, arrogance, and collusion have no effect on
financial statement fraud.
Keywords: Fraud hexagon theory, financial statement fraud, pressure,
modified jones model.
INTRODUCTION
The infrastructure industry in Indonesia is one of the
sectors that has a great contribution to the national economy. However, behind
its rapid growth, the sector is also vulnerable to fraudulent practices in
financial statements. This fraud can have a significant impact on various
parties, such as investors, creditors, and the government. Therefore, it is
important to develop effective methods to detect and prevent financial
statement fraud in the infrastructure
sector.
Fraud theory explains
various factors that can contribute to the occurrence of fraud. In 1953, the
fraud theory was initiated by Donald R. Cressey known as the "Fraud
Triangle". The theory explains that there are three elements that
cause fraud, namely pressure, opportunity, and rationalization. In 2004, David
T. Wolfe and Dana R. H. stated that there are four elements that cause fraud,
including pressure, opportunity, rationalization, and capability, this fraud
theory is called "Fraud Diamond". In 2011, Crowe Horwath
proposed the "Fraud Pentagon", which is that there are five
elements that cause fraud, including pressure, opportunity, rationalization, capability,
and ego. In 2019, Vousinas introduced the latest
fraud theory "Fraud Hexagon".
Agency theory
discusses principal-agent problems related to the separation of ownership and
control of a business. In agency theory, the principal has a contractual
relationship with the manager (agent) and gives the manager the power to
make decisions on their behalf. This is done so that the company's operational
agility becomes smooth. This agreement is contained in a contract that
regulates the rules and responsibilities of each party (Jensen & Meckling, 1976).
Financial statement
fraud is the practice of manipulating information in financial statements to
deceive parties interested in the company. This fraud is carried out in many
ways, including recording fictitious transactions, hiding assets or
liabilities, and playing with accounting accounts. Financial reporting fraud
can be carried out through various operational methods, such as falsification
or manipulation of data, omission of material information, deliberate
application of incorrect accounting principles, and deliberate omission of
accounting policies (Sintabela & Badjuri, 2023).
This study
uses data on infrastructure companies listed on the IDX from 2020 to 2022. Infrastructure companies have a high
concentration of business and can provide better data variation in testing the
effects of pressure variables, opportunities, rationalization, capability,
arrogance, and collusion against financial statement fraud.
This study has a difference from the previous study, namely the sample used was an infrastructure company listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in 2020 to 2020. In addition, there is a combination of independent variables that are different from previous research, including pressure projected by financial stability, opportunity projected by ineffective monitoring, rationalization projected by total accrual to total assets, capability projected by CEO education level and certification, arrogance projected by the company's existence, and collusion projected by audit fees.
LITERATURE
REVIEW
Agency
theory
In
agency theory, the principal has a contractual relationship with the
manager (agent) and gives the manager the power to make decisions on
their behalf. This is done so that the company's operational agility becomes
smooth (Jensen & Meckling, 1976). An
agency relationship is an agreement between two parties where the first party
(principal) gives trust and power to the second party (agent) to perform
certain duties on behalf of the principal. This agreement is contained in a
contract that regulates the rules and responsibilities of each party (Jensen & Meckling, 1976).
Agency theory discusses principal-agent problems related to the separation of
ownership and control of a business. Agency relationships are created through
contracts where one party (principal) delegates tasks to another party (agent).
The principal gives the authority to the agent to make decisions related to the
delegated tasks. This theory affirms that the agent will behave in his own
interests and may be contrary to the interests of the principal (Imam Ghozali, 2021). Fraud
in financial statements is closely related to agency theory. This is
affirmed in the Audit Standards Statement No. 99 which states that fraud is an
act of deliberate manipulation of financial statements and must be further
investigated. Financial statement fraud can be carried out by company
management by including false information in financial statements so that
investors and creditors can be financially harmed. Agency theory states that
there is an asymmetric relationship of information between shareholders as
principals and management as agents (ACFE, 2020).
Fraud
Theory
Fraud
is defined as fraud or intentional mistakes
committed by an individual or organization knowing that the activity will
benefit himself or his group at the expense of the individual. institution or
other stakeholders (ACFE, 2022). Fraud is a fraudulent act that is deliberately
carried out by parties with power, such as management or external parties, in
order to gain personal benefits illegally. This action is unlawful and can harm
other parties (IFAC, 2020). Fraud is a deliberate act to harm other parties,
such as making false statements, hiding evidence, or cheating. The goal is to
gain unfair and illegal benefits for one party, which can be an individual, a
company, or an organization. Fraud can be categorized into three main types,
including asset abuse, financial statement fraud, and corruption (ACFE, 2020).
In 2011, Crowe Horwath introduced the "Fraud Pentagon" by
adding two elements to the fraud triangle, namely capability and arrogance.
Developed Wolfe and Hermanson's "Fraud Diamond". Then this theory
developed from "Fraud Pentagon" to "Fraud Hexagon"
by adding an element of collusion (Vousinas, 2019).
Hexagon
Fraud Triangle
Hexagon
Fraud Theory is a development of previous fraud
theories. The Fraud Hexagon theory was first introduced by Vousinas in 2019 by developing the theory of Donald R.
Cressey (1953). The three elements that cause financial statement fraud are
pressure, opportunity and rationalization called the fraud triangle theory
(Cressey, 1953). This theory was later called the Diamond Theory of Fraud by
Adding Possibilities (Wolfe & Hermanson, 2004). Then this theory was
developed into the Fraud Pentagon Theory (Howarth, 2010) or also called
SCORE by Vouisinas (Stimulus, Capability,
Opportunity, Rationalization, Ego) with one new element, namely arrogance.
The latest fraud �theory is the Hexagon Fraud Theory,
which developed SCORE into SCCORE by adding a sixth element, collusion.
Collusion is added because it is one of the keys to the occurrence of the most
detrimental fraud in large numbers (Vousinas, 2019).
The hexagon fraud �theory is a
development of the pentagonal theory which is considered incapable of
perfecting the factors that can affect the occurrence of fraud (Achmad, Ghozali, & Pamungkas, 2022).
This model is the first fraud �model that assumes that fraud is
carried out in groups or collusion. So far, the element of collusion has not
been considered a factor in the occurrence of fraud in previous fraud models (Ayati, Nupus, Yusdian, & Wulandari, 2023).
Financial
Statement Fraud
Financial
statement fraud is an act of fraud committed by management by manipulating the
company's financial information. This is done in various ways, such as hiding
expenses, recording fictitious income, or exaggerating the value of assets. The
goal is to deceive users of financial statements, such as investors, creditors,
or regulatory authorities, into obtaining undue profits (Global, 2020). Financial
reporting fraud is an act of deliberately presenting better data (over-reporting)
or worse data (under-reporting) which results in inconsistent financial
statements in actual conditions. Financial statements become irrelevant in
decision-making by users of financial statements because the information
contained in the report is not in accordance with the actual situation (Winata, Suhartono, & Dema, 2024).
Financial statements can be analyzed to detect fraud using a modified jones model
to measure discretionary accrual, an indicator of profit management. The model
estimates discretionary provisions during the period in which fraud is
suspected, assuming that all changes in credit sales during that period are the
result of profit manipulation. This is based on the ease of manipulating
profits through the recognition of income from credit sales rather than cash
sales (Dechow, 1995).
According to (Dechow, 1995) in (Abdurrahim, 2015), the
accuracy level of the modified jones model is higher compared to other
models (healy model, de angelo
model, jones model and industrial model).
The
Pressure factor arises when a company or individual faces circumstances that
force them to commit fraud such as financial constraints or the need to meet
the expectations placed on them. Pressure can encourage managers to manipulate
financial statements to look more positive, albeit in a dishonest and unethical
way (Bader, Abu Hajar, Weshah, & Almasri, 2024).
Pressure is one of the reasons individuals commit fraud. This method
includes lifestyle, economic needs, and other financial and non-financial
problems. The pressure to commit fraud is even higher when management is
required to attract investors to invest in their companies (Rashid, Khan, Riaz, & Burton, 2023). The
pressure projected by financial stability has proven to have a positive
impact on financial statement fraud (Siregar & Murwaningsari, 2022). The
pressure projected by financial stability has proven to have a
significant impact on financial statement fraud (Siregar & Murwaningsari, 2022). A
company's financial stability can encourage managers to commit fraud in
financial statements. Financial stability is the degree of economic
stability of a company. In an effort to gain trust in financial report users,
companies must have good financial stability (Achmad et al., 2022).
Opportunity
The
opportunity factor can be due to the absence of effective oversight and
inherent weaknesses creating opportunities for individuals and companies to
engage in fraudulent behavior. When a person who tends to commit fraud is aware
of an opportunity without any moral restrictions, they tend to exploit it for
personal gain without paying attention to others (Bader et al., 2024). Fraudulent
activities of companies traded on the capital market are more likely than
companies that are not listed on the market (Adhania, Holiawati, & Nofryanti, 2024). The
opportunities projected by ineffective monitoring have been proven to
have an impact on financial statement fraud (Wicaksono & Suryandari, 2021). Fraud
occurs due to a lack of commitment to integrity and values, as well as
ineffective supervision activities. The Board of Directors in addition to the
CEO also acts as a representative to support the CEO in managing the company's
operations and helping the board of directors achieve the goals that have been
set (MEMODERASI, n.d.).
Rationalization
The
rationalization factor can arise when the individual who commits the fraud
justifies themselves why they committed the fraud, believing that they deserve
the profits obtained through fraudulent means because of their rationalization.
This can happen due to various things, such as feeling disadvantaged, having an
urgent need, or even having a false belief that they are more entitled to these
benefits (Bader et al., 2024).
Rationalization is one of the psychological factors that motivate managers to
cheat (Ramos Montesdeoca, Sanchez Medina, & Blazquez
Santana, 2019). The
management's decision in rationalizing financial statements makes the total
accrual related to the occurrence of financial reporting fraud. Profit
management through accrual is shown when managers increase or decrease the
accrual rate of accounting figures such as receivables, inventories, debts,
deferred revenue, liabilities that still pay, and expenses paid in advance, to
obtain the expected profit (MEMODERASI, n.d.).
Total Accrual to Total Assets (TATA) is the most significant factor in
evaluating the risk of financial statement fraud (Demetriades & Owusu-Agyei, 2022).
Capability
The
capability factor can arise when an individual has the capability to commit
fraud because of the skills, knowledge, and values he possesses, which allows
them to engage in fraudulent activities (Bader et al., 2024). Higher capability means a greater chance of turning
fraudulent motives into practice (Lastanti,
2020). The capability
projected by the level of education and certification of CEO�s has been proven
to have an effect on financial statement fraud (Sihombing & Panggulu, 2022). A CEO's level of education reflects
his mastery of understanding the ins and outs of the company, including his
financial statements. On the one hand, this benefits companies because CEO�s with higher education generally have sharp insights
and are able to make the right strategic decisions. However, on the other hand,
there is a potential for misuse of this knowledge to launch fraudulent actions.
The higher the level of education of CEO�s, the greater their chances of
planning and executing financial fraud because of their deep understanding of
the company's systems and gaps (Sihombing & Panggulu, 2022).
Arrogance
The
arrogance factor can arise when a person who has power and authority feels
above the laws and procedures that have been set by the company, thus
encouraging him to commit fraudulent, manipulative, and exploitative behavior (Bader et al., 2024).
Fraudsters have a high arrogance so they try their best to meet their needs by
committing fraud in financial statements (Devi, Widanaputra, Budiasih, & Rasmini, 2021). The
arrogance projected by the existence of the company has been proven to have an
effect on financial statement fraud (Haqq & Budiwitjaksono, 2019). The
existence of a business or business that continues to exist with good
performance can be the cause of fraud (Siregar & Murwaningsari, 2022).
Companies that have been established for a long time have very arrogant
management. Management must make the company perform well by manipulating
financial statements to continue the existence of the company. Therefore,
companies with high existence are allowed to commit fraud in their financial
statements when their operational performance declines or is not good enough to
show good operational efficiency and company survival (Haqq & Budiwitjaksono, 2019).
Collusion
The
collusion factor can arise due to the involvement of a group of individuals in
committing fraud against others, often through a coordinated agreement aimed at
committing fraud. Transactions involving related parties can sometimes be
agreements that can be detrimental to the interests of stakeholders (Bader et al., 2024).
When many parties work together to commit fraud, the losses incurred can
be greater (Zahari, Said, & Muhamad, 2022).
Collusion projected by audit fees has been
proven to have an effect on financial statement fraud (Indriana, 2022). When management provides
audit costs that are too large, a conflict of interest arises between the
auditor and the company. This is done by the auditor's office to retain its
clients (Aviantara, 2021). Intimate relationships can
make auditors unprofessional and unmotivated to provide a quality audit process
(Khaksar, Salehi, & Lari DashtBayaz, 2022).
Return
on Assets (ROA)
Return
on Asset (ROA) reflects the effectiveness of a
company's ability to use its assets to generate profits. The higher the ROA
value, the better the company manages its assets to generate profits. This can
reflect the company's financial condition so that it becomes an attraction for
investors (Raiyan, Dewata, & Periansya, 2020). ROA
is a ratio used to express profit margin (Khamainy, Amalia, Cakranegara, & Indrawati, 2022). A
higher ROA indicates a higher likelihood of financial reporting fraud. This is
due to the pressure to demonstrate high financial performance (Saluja et al.,
2021). ROA as one of the prominent indicators to assess management efficiency
in utilizing assets to generate profits (Hung, Ha, & Binh, 2017) dan (Julia & Yunita, 2022).� A number of studies have confirmed that an
increase in ROA is related to an increase in fraudulent activity in a company's
financial statements. Companies with low ROA ratios also encourage their
management to commit fraud in order to get better financial position results (Demetriades & Owusu-Agyei, 2022).
Hypothesis
Research and Development Framework
The
purpose of this study is to empirically prove that pressure, opportunity,
rationalization, capability, arrogance, and collusion affect financial fraud in
infrastructure sector companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX)
for 3 (three) years, namely 2020, 2021, and 2022. The research framework used
is as follows.
Figure 1. Framework of
Thought
Source: processed by
researchers
Hypothesis
Development
Based on the description above, the researcher
wants to prove empirically whether pressure, opportunity, rationalization, capability,
arrogance, and collusion have an influence on financial statement fraud, with
the following hypothetical description.
H1: Pressure has a positive effect
on financial statement fraud
H2: Opportunity has a positive
effect on financial statement fraud
H3: Rationalization has a positive
effect on financial statement fraud
H4: Capability has a positive
effect on financial statement fraud
H5: Arrogance has a positive effect
on financial statement fraud
H6:
Collusion has a positive effect on financial statement fraud.
RESEARCH METHOD
The
data used in this study is secondary data derived from annual reports. The
companies sampled in this study are infrastructure sector companies listed on
the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) with a reporting period of 2020 to 2022. The
technique used in sampling in research sampling is the purposive sample
technique, which is a sampling technique based on predetermined criteria. In
this study, the sample that met the criteria was 99, consisting of 33 companies
for 3 periods. The data was then analyzed by the multiple linear regression
analysis method using the Eviews 9 application.
Variables
and Their Measurements
1. Financial
Statement Fraud
The
deviation of financial statements projected by Discretionary Accrual (DA)
is measured using the
modified jones model. This model uses total accruals
(TA) which are classified into two components: Discretionary Accrual (DA)
and Nondiscretionary Accrual (NDA). Discretionary Accrual (DA)
is a form of accrual accounting policy that is not sourced from the needs of
business conditions but is applied by management to transfer costs and income
from one period to another to achieve certain management goals (Jones, 1991). Nondiscretionary
Accrual (NDA) is an accrual component of a reasonable profit recognition or
management policy that follows generally accepted accounting standards or
principles as determined by the requirements of business conditions and occurs
naturally in conjunction with changes in the company's assets. The complete
formula of the modified John model is as follows (Dechow, 1995):
1) Total Accrual (TA) is net profit for year t minus operating cash
flow for year t with the following formula:
The total accrual
(TA) is estimated with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) as follows:
2) The formula for Nondiscretionary Accruals (NDA) is as
follows:
3) Discretionary accruals (DA) are measures of profit management determined by the
following formula:
Information:
TAP��� ��������� = Discretionary accrual in
Company i and Period t
Tait���� ��������� = Total accrual in company i and period t
DATE-1�������� = Total assets
in company i and period t-1
NDAit� ��������� = Nondiscretionary accrual In Company i and Period t
NIit���� ��������� = Net profit on
the company's company i and period t
CFOit� ��������� = Operating cash
flow at company i and period t
AIT-1� ��������� = Total assets in company i and period t-1
PEEit�� ��������� = Value of fixed assets in company i
and period t
ΔREVit���������� = Change in
revenue in company i between period t and period t-1
ΔRECit���������� = Change in
receivables in company i between period t and period
t-1
ε ������ ��������� = Term error in company i and period to t
2. Pressure
The
pressure projected by financial stability has been proven to have an
effect on financial statement fraud (Siregar & Murwaningsari, 2022). Financial
stability can be measured by looking at the change in total assets. If the
growth value of a company's assets fluctuates, then management will be under
pressure to adjust its financial statements so that the growth of the company's
assets appears stable. At that time, business people were always required to
maintain the financial stability of their business. Thus, financial stability
is represented using the percentage change in total assets (Skousen, Smith, & Wright, 2009):
Financial
stability =
3. Opportunity
The
opportunities projected by ineffective monitoring have been proven to affect
financial statement fraud (Wicaksono & Suryandari, 2021). The
weaker the supervision, the higher the likelihood of fraud in financial
reporting. The formula used to measure ineffective monitoring in this
study is as follows (Skousen et al., 2009):
Ineffective
monitoring =
4. Rationalization
The
rationalization projected by Total Accrual to Total Assets (TATA) has been
proven to have an effect on financial statement fraud (Demetriades & Owusu-Agyei, 2022). If
the results of the calculation show that the total accrual has a higher value
than the company's cash, then it is likely that the company will manipulate its
income (Beneish, 1999). The formula for calculating
Total Accrual to Total Assets (TATA) is as follows:
5. Capability
The capability
projected by the level of education and certification of CEO�s has been proven
to have an effect on financial statement fraud (Sihombing & Panggulu, 2022). In Josephine 2022, the measurement
of educational achievement refers to the combination of (Erlim
& Juliana, 2017) and (Putri,
2020) indicators, which are carried out
by combining 2 indicators (level of educational and certificate index) from 2
studies as follows:
1. President director with a bachelor's
degree without certification: 1
2. President director with a bachelor's
degree has certificates: 2
3. President director with a master's
degree without a certificate: 2
4. President director with a master's degree
with certificates: 3
5. President director with a doctoral degree
without certification: 3
6. President director with a doctoral
degree with certifications: 4
7. President director has not reached
the minimum bachelor's education level: 0
6. Arrogance
The
arrogance projected by the existence of the company has been proven to have an
impact on financial statement fraud (Haqq & Budiwitjaksono, 2019).� Companies that have been established for a
long time have very arrogant management. Management must make the company
perform well by manipulating financial statements to continue the existence of
the company. Therefore, companies with high existence are allowed to commit
fraud in their financial statements when their operational performance declines
or is not good enough to show good operational efficiency and company survival (Haqq & Budiwitjaksono, 2019). The
formula for calculating the existence of a company is as follows:
Company
existence =
7. Collusion
Collusion
projected by audit fees has been proven to have an effect on financial
statement fraud (Indriana, 2022). When management
provides audit costs that are too large, a conflict of interest arises between
the auditor and the company. This is done by the auditor's office to retain its
clients. Low audit quality can be the entrance to fraud, audit costs affect financial
statement fraud (Aviantara, 2021). The following is the
formula for calculating audit fees:
Audit fee = Ln (Audit Fee)
8. Data
Analysis Methods
The
data that has been collected in this study will be analyzed by descriptive
statistical analysis techniques and panel data regression analysis using Eviews 9 software. The following is the model
in this study:
Information:
|
DA |
=
Discretionary Accrual |
|
|
=
Constant Coefficient |
|
|
=
Regression Coefficient |
|
FS |
=
Financial Stability |
|
IM |
=
Ineffective Monitoring |
|
EC |
=
Level of Education and Certification of CEO |
|
TATA |
=
Total Accrual to Total Assets |
|
EP |
=
Company Existence |
|
AF |
=
Audit Fee |
|
ROA |
=
Return on Assets |
|
|
=
Error Rate |
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION
Descriptive
Statistical Analysis
Table 1. Descriptive Statistical
Analysis Test Results
|
Variable |
N |
Mean |
Minimum |
Maximum |
Std. Dev. |
|
DA |
99 |
-0,016 |
-0,279 |
0,178 |
0,075 |
|
FS |
99 |
0,083 |
-0,658 |
3,772 |
0,412 |
|
IM |
99 |
0,432 |
0,000 |
0,667 |
0,117 |
|
TATA |
99 |
-0,003 |
-1,101 |
1,400 |
0,228 |
|
EC |
99 |
1,606 |
0,000 |
3,000 |
0,603 |
|
EP |
99 |
3,067 |
0,700 |
6,100 |
1,652 |
|
AF |
99 |
20,285 |
18,064 |
24,980 |
1,436 |
|
ROA |
99 |
-0,002 |
-1,277 |
0,172 |
0,164 |
Source: Processing Results on the Eviews 9 application
The results of the
descriptive statistical test in table 1, show that the financial statement
fraud projected by the Discretionary
Accrual (DA) has a mean of -0.279, a
max of 0.178, a standard deviation of 0.075 and a mean of -0.016.
The pressure projected by Financial Stability (FS) has a
mean of -0658 max of 3.772, a standard deviation of 0.412, and a
mean of 0.083. The opportunity projected by Ineffective Monitoring (IM)
has a mean of 0.000 max 0.667, a standard deviation of 0.117, and
a mean of 0.432. The rationalization projected by Total Accrual to Total
Assets (TATA) has a mean of -1.101, a max of 1.400, a standard
deviation of 0.228, and a mean of -0.003. The Capability projected by
the Education and Certification Level (EC) has a min of 0.000, a max of
3,000, a standard deviation of 0.603, and a mean of 1.606. The arrogance
projected by the Company's Existence (EP) has a min of 0.700, a max of
6,000, a standard deviation of 1.652, and a mean of 3.067. The collusion
projected by Audit Fee (AF) has a mean of 18.064, a max of
24.980, a standard deviation of 1.436, and a mean of 20.285. Return
on Assets (ROA) has a min -1.277, a max of 0.172, a standard
deviation of 0.164, and a mean of -0.002.
Panel Data
Regression Analysis
Panel data regression
model A model must go through various stages of testing to determine the right
estimation model to determine the influence of independent variables on
dependent variables. In the regression analysis of panel data, there are three
models that can be used, including the Common Effect Model (CEM), the Fixed
Effect Model (FEM), and the Random Effect Model (REM).
Table 2. Regression Model Selection
Test Results
|
Model Selection Test |
|||
|
Chow Test |
Cross-section Chi-square |
Prob. |
Decision |
|
78,581 |
0,000 |
FEM accepted |
|
|
Hausman Test |
Cross-section random |
Prob. |
Decision |
|
30,899 |
0,000 |
FEM accepted |
|
|
LM Test |
Breusch-Pagan (Both) |
Prob. |
Decision |
|
0,326 |
0,551 |
CEM accepted |
|
Source: Processing results on the Eviews 9 application
*Sig 5%
Model
Selection Test
Based on the results
of the Chow test, the prob value of the cross-section chi square is
0.000 < 0.05 (alpha 5%), H0 is rejected and H1 is
accepted so that the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) is chosen. Furthermore,
the Hausman test was carried out with the results showing that the random
cross-section prob value was 0.000 < 0.05 (alpha 5%), H0 was
accepted and H1 was rejected so that the Fixed Effect Model (FEM)
was chosen. Then, the Langrage Multiplier test was carried out and a Breusch
Pagan (Both) prob value of 0.551 > 0.05 (alpha 5%) was obtained, H0
was rejected and H1 was accepted so that the Common Effect
Model (CEM) was chosen. From these three tests, it can be concluded that
the right regression model in estimating the right panel data in this study is the
Fixed Effect Model (FEM).
Classical
Assumption Test
In this study, the
regression model used is the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) model. Therefore, a
classical assumption test is needed. The classical assumption tests used
include multicollinearity and heteroscedasticity tests (Basuki, 2014) in (Napitupulu, Ellyawati, & Astuti, 2021).
Multicollinearity
Test
This study
used six independent variables and one control variable in conducting a
multicollinearity test. In the test, if the correlation coefficient is less
than 0.85, it can be said that the model is free of multicollinearity. However,
if the correlation coefficient is greater than 0.85, it can be said that the
model contains collinearity.
Table 3. Multicollinearity Test Results
|
|
FS |
IM |
TATA |
EC |
EP |
AF |
ROA |
|
FS |
1.000 |
0.212 |
0.290 |
0.051 |
-0.188 |
-0.066 |
0.255 |
|
IM |
0.212 |
1.000 |
0.065 |
0.064 |
-0.304 |
-0.097 |
0.025 |
|
TATA |
0.290 |
0.065 |
1.000 |
0.220 |
0.076 |
-0.099 |
0.145 |
|
EC |
0.051 |
0.064 |
0.220 |
1.000 |
0.182 |
-0.035 |
0.049 |
|
EP |
-0.188 |
-0.304 |
0.076 |
0.182 |
1.000 |
0.272 |
-0.117 |
|
AF |
-0.066 |
-0.097 |
-0.099 |
-0.035 |
0.272 |
1.000 |
0.144 |
|
ROA |
0.255 |
0.025 |
0.145 |
0.049 |
-0.117 |
0.144 |
1.000 |
Source: Processing results on the Eviews 9 application
The table
above shows the results of the data processing of the multicollinearity test
between independent variables which shows that the model in this study is free
from multicollinearity because the matrix value of each independent variable is
less than 0.85 (Napitupulu et al., 2021).
Heteroscedasticity Test
The
Heteroscedasticity test is used to find out if there is a residual variance
that is not identical in other observations of one regression model. If the residual graph (blue color) can be seen not to cross the
boundary (500 and -500), it means that the residual variant is the same. no
symptoms of heteroscedacity or passing heteroscedacity (Napitupulu et al., 2021).
Figure 1. Heteroscedasticity Test
Results
Source: Processing results on the Eviews application
The figure
above shows the results of the heteroscedasticity test data processing in this
study. The graph shows that the residual DA value (blue color) can be seen not
to cross the limit (500 and -500), meaning that the residual variant is the
same. Therefore, there was no heteroscenity or passed
the heteroscenity test between independent variables
in this study.
Determination Coefficient Test (R2)
Table 4. R2
Test Results
|
Type |
Adj R2 |
|
DA |
0,385 |
Source: Processing results on the Eviews 9 application
The
determination coefficient test was carried out in this study to measure the
ability of the dependent variable to explain the behavior of the dependent
variable by looking at the adjusted R-Squared value. The greater the value of R-Squared,
the better the ability of the independent variable to explain the dependent
variable and the better the quality of the regression model.
Based on
the regression results in table 4.7, the Adjusted R-Squared was obtained by
0.385 or 38.5%. This shows that the independent variables consisting of
pressure, opportunity, rationalization, capability, arrogance, and collusion
have the ability of 38.5% in explaining the dependent variable, while the rest
are the abilities of other independent variables that affect the dependent
variables that are not included in this study.
Global Test or F Test
Table 5. Test Result F
|
Type |
Fstat |
Sig Fstat |
|
DA |
2,574 |
0,000505 |
Source: Processing results on the Eviews 9 application
The F test
was carried out in this study to see if the variable as a whole was independent
of the dependent variable. This test has the goal of seeing whether the model
used in this study is good or not. If the Fstat value
> alpha 0.05 (5%), then H0 is rejected, which means that
there is a significant difference between the model and the observed value so
that the research model used is not correct. Meanwhile, if Fstat
< alpha 0.05 (5%), then H0 is accepted, which means that
there is no significant difference between the model and the observed value so
that the research model is able to predict the observation value so that the
model in the study is correct.
Based on
the results of the F test in table 5, the results of the Fstat
value are 2.574 > the F table is 0.999 and the Fstat
sig is 0.000505. The Fstat value is smaller than alpha
0.05 so that H1 is accepted and it can be concluded that in this
research model it is feasible and there is at least one independent variable
that has a significant effect on the dependent variable.
Individual Hypothesis Test
Table 6. T Test Results
|
Variable |
Predictions |
Coefficient |
Std. Error |
Sig. (2 Tails) |
Sig. (1 Tail) |
Decision |
|
C |
|
-1,262 |
0,659 |
0,060 |
0,030 |
- |
|
FS |
+ |
-0,010 |
0,022 |
0,329 |
H1
rejected |
|
|
IM |
+ |
-0,038 |
0,091 |
0,341 |
H2
rejected |
|
|
TATA |
+ |
0,118 |
0,037 |
0,001 |
H3 accepted |
|
|
EC |
+ |
-0,065 |
0,051 |
0,106 |
H4
rejected |
|
|
EP |
+ |
0,087 |
0,081 |
0,285 |
0,143 |
H5
rejected |
|
AF |
+ |
0,054 |
0,033 |
0,107 |
0,054 |
H6
rejected |
|
ROA |
|
-0,110 |
0,058 |
0,060 |
0,030 |
- |
Source: Processing results on the Eviews 9 application
*Sig. 5%
DA = Discreationary Accrual (Financial Statement Fraud); FS =
Financial Stability (Pressure); IM = Ineffective Monitoring (Opportunity); TATA
= Total Accrual to Total Assets (Rationalization); EC = CEO Education Level and
Certification (Ability); EP= Company Existence (Arrogance); AF= Audit Fee
(Collusion); ROA = Return on Assets; SIZE = Company Size.
The Effect of Pressure
(Financial Stability) on Financial Statement Fraud
The
pressure projected by financial stability has no effect on financial
statement fraud as shown by the results of the statistical test of table 6. The
value of pressure significance is 0.658/2=0.329 > 0.05 (alpha 5%)
thus, H1 is rejected. This is in line with research (Khamainy et
al., 2022), who stated that financial stability has
no effect on financial statement fraud. This is because the change depends on
the company's expertise in managing its assets. The magnitude of the percentage
growth of total assets does not indicate that the company committed fraud in
the financial statements. Every change in a company's assets can occur not
because of fraud in financial statements, but as a result of the strategy
carried out by management in managing its assets. On the other hand, the
results of this study are not in line with (Achmad et al.,
2022) research, which states that the pressure
projected by financial stability has a positive effect on financial
reporting fraud. Management will be pressured to adjust financial statements so
that the growth of the company's assets looks stable because the growth of a
company's assets fluctuates. Businessmen are always required to maintain the
financial stability of their business. Based on agency theory, management as an
agent will face pressure so one way to achieve maximum performance is to
falsify financial statements (Devi et al.,
2021).
The Effect of Opportunity (Ineffective
Monitoring) on Financial Statement Fraud
The
opportunity projected by ineffective monitoring has no effect on
financial statement fraud as shown by the results of the statistical test in
table 6. The significance value of the opportunity is 0.682/2=0.341 > 0.05 (alpha
5%) thus, H2 is rejected.� The
results of this study are in line with (Sihombing & Panggulu, 2022) research, which
states that the opportunities projected by ineffective monitoring have
no effect on financial statement fraud. No matter how many members of the
independent board of commissioners in a company have no effect on the practice
of financial reporting fraud in that company. Fraud in financial statements can
occur even though all members of the board of commissioners are independent.
Whether or not the supervision of the board of commissioners is effective or
not does not rule out the possibility of management to commit financial
reporting fraud. However, the results of the study contradict the
results of Andriani's (2022) research, which stated that the opportunities
projected by ineffective monitoring have a positive effect on financial
statement fraud. This shows that the presence of independent commissioners
tends to reduce the potential for fraud that will arise, where the presence of
independent supervisors in the company will increase the effectiveness of
supervision of management performance because management feels closely
supervised so that it does not violate existing regulations. According to
agency theory, agency problems can arise when management and company owners
have different goals, so management as an agent who runs the company can take opportunistic
actions that can have a bad impact on the company, one of which is financial
statement fraud (Devi et al., 2021).
Effect of Rationalization (Total Accrual to
Total Assets) on Financial Statement Fraud
The
rationalization projected by total accruals to total assets has a positive
effect on financial statement fraud as shown by the results of statistical
testing in table 6. The value of pressure significance is 0.002/2=0.001 <
0.05 (alpha 5%) thus, H3 is accepted. This result is in line
with (Winata et al., 2024) research, which
states that the projected rationalization with total accrual to total assets
has a positive effect on financial statement fraud. An increase in the total
value of accruals relative to total assets may indicate fraud in financial
reporting in a company. The policy in recording accruals provides the
opportunity for fraud to occur, as the difference between the listed assets and
the physical assets provides an avenue for manipulation. However, the results
of the study contradict the results of Pratiwi's (2022) research, which states
that the projected rationalization with total accrual to total assets has no
effect on financial statement fraud. Based on agency theory, problems can occur
when management as an agent of the owner of the company makes rational
decisions for his personal benefit. The accrual principle is able to increase
management risk in financial statement fraud (Indriana, 2022).
Effect of Capability (CEO Education and
Certification) on Financial Statement Fraud
The
abilities projected by level of education and certification of CEO�s have no
effect on financial statement fraud as shown by the results of the statistical
test of table 6. The value of pressure significance is 0.212/2=0.106 > 0.05
(alpha 5%) thus, H4 is rejected. These results are in line
with the research of (Wicaksono & Suryandari, 2021) which stated that the
capability projected by the level of education and certification has no effect
on financial statement fraud. CEO education does not affect financial statement
fraud. This is because a person's level of capability and educational
background are not factors that encourage someone to commit fraudulent
practices. The level of capability possessed by a CEO with a higher educational
background will actually make the CEO more qualified so that he is able to make
the right decisions when experiencing problems without having to do fraudulent
practices. However, the results of the study contradict the results of (Sihombing & Panggulu, 2022). research, which
stated that the capability projected by the level of education and
certification has a positive effect on financial statement fraud. The higher
the level of education of a CEO, the higher the possibility of financial
statement fraud. This means that a CEO can use his knowledge and understanding
of business and finance that he has learned to commit financial statement fraud
for the company he leads. Shareholders must be careful in choosing a CEO to
lead the company. The chosen leaders are not only highly educated, but also
have an honest character so that they are able to lead the company well.
According to agency theory, management in carrying out its role as an agent is
equipped with the capability to be a door to commit fraud that has a negative
impact on the company. This capability can cause management to have goals that
are not in line with the goals of business owners, causing information
asymmetry, one of which is financial reporting fraud (Devi et al., 2021).
The
Effect of Arrogance (Company Existence) on Financial Statement Fraud
The
arrogance projected by the existence of the company has no effect on financial
statement fraud as shown by the results of the statistical test in table 6. The
value of pressure significance of 0.285/2=0.143 > 0.05 (alpha 5%)
thus, H5 is rejected. This result is in line with (Siregar & Murwaningsari, 2022) research, which
states that the arrogance projected by the existence of a company has no effect
on financial statement fraud. Companies that have been established for a long
time so that with this experience, they are able to continue to exist without
having to commit financial statement fraud. However, the results of the study
contradict the results of the research of (Haqq & Budiwitjaksono, 2019), which stated that
the arrogance projected by the existence of the company has a positive effect
on financial statement fraud. Companies that have been established for a long
time have top management with a high level of arrogance. Based on agency
theory, problems can occur when management as an agent of the owner of the
company makes rational decisions for his personal benefit. Based on agency
theory, problems can occur when management as an agent of the owner of the
company makes rational decisions for his personal benefit. According to agency
theory, a person with high arrogance is not afraid to do anything to meet his
needs (Devi et al., 2021).
The
Effect of Collusion (Audit Fee) on Financial Statement Fraud
Collusion projected by audit fees has
no effect on financial statement fraud as shown by the results of the
statistical test in table 6. The value of collusion significance of
0.107/2=0.054 > 0.05 (alpha 5%) Thus, H6 is rejected.� This result is contrary to other studies that
show that the collusion projected by audit fees has effect on financial
statement fraud.� The high value of audit
fees can reflect the possibility of financial reporting fraud. This means that
it is likely that management cooperates with external auditors to commit and
hide financial statement fraud. High audit costs are a form of reciprocity
between auditors and management (Sihombing & Panggulu, 2022). This study also
contradicts the results of Indriana (2022), �which states that collusion projected by audit
fees has an effect on financial statement fraud. When management provides
audit costs that are too large, a conflict of interest arises between the
auditor and the client company regarding the provision of inappropriate
opinions. This is done by the auditor's office to retain its clients. In the
agency relationship between management (agent) and shareholders (principal),
excessive provision of audit fees can create a conflict of interest. This can
encourage auditors to act inconsistent with their interests as independent
parties (Aviantara, 2021).
CONCLUSION
Based on the findings of this study, it can be
concluded that rationalization has a positive effect on financial statement
fraud, while pressure, opportunity, capability, arrogance, and collusion have
no effect on financial statement fraud. This study has a difference from the
previous study, namely the sample used was an infrastructure company listed on
the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) in 2020 to 2022. In addition, there was a
different combination of independent variables from previous research. Further
research is expected to expand the number of research samples in other
industrial sectors in order to find out the influence of each variable on other
industrial sectors. Further research is expected to consider and add other
independent variables that are different to this study in order to find out
other factors that can detect fraud in financial statements such as the
company's ownership structure and organizational culture.
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